《欧洲论坛》报2023年8月26日讯：中国在南海的行为引起了很多争议，但似乎很少有人能从这个角度去理解：最近的 “水上袭击 ”并非是军事国家的敌对行为，而是中国海警船阻止另一个国家在有争议的岛屿上进行建设。美国似乎热衷于制止中国这样做，却又允许别的国家进行这种行为。
如果深入研究的话，就会发现真相。1999 年，菲律宾非法将登陆艇搁浅在一个无人居住的环礁上，现在正试图运送建筑材料来对其进行加固。
许多人认为中国是在攻击挑衅，毕竟西方媒体希望他们这么想。但据中国媒体报道，中国只想做一件事：让仁爱礁不受滋扰。尽管各方都对该地区主张法律权利，但是中国并没有做错。
撇开这件事不谈，从更广阔的角度来看，许多人对中国向南海 “扩张”持批评态度，但他们的批评存在三个问题：一是这种“扩张”之说没有考虑中国的国情；二是从更广阔的层面上来看，中国的行为是小规模的；三是根据前总理李克强的说法，这并不是军事性质的。“扩张”之说仅仅是西方“专家 ”的假设。
经常有报道称中国“能够”将这些地区用于军事目的，但中国对此表示否认。据查，只有一架军机曾于2016年在该地区降落过，且是在执行人道主义任务，对三名病人进行空运。而反过来看，美国已将太平洋军事化。
美国显然将中国视为威胁，关于这点的讨论和推断多种多样，在此就不一一阐述了。但是，当美国认为某个国家是威胁时，该国最好要多加注意。
美国在太平洋地区共有 37.5万名士兵来“对抗中国”，这比登陆诺曼底海滩的 15.6 万士兵多出一倍多。
美军占领了关岛 30% 的领土，驻军 7000 人；在日本有 23 个基地，在韩国有 15 个基地。目前，美军正在菲律宾建设四个军事基地，并在密克罗尼西亚和帕劳建设更多基地，还与澳大利亚一起翻修位于巴布亚新几内亚的一个旧基地。
更令人担忧的是，美军在中国境内活动：在美国政府否认了 12 个月之后，台湾政府承认这是事实。在此之前，尼克松、卡特和里根等历届总统都承诺不会这样做。里根还于 1982 年发表公报，声明美国不会增加对台军售，并明确表示美国将把武器销售量降至零，以实现和平解决。看来，现任美国总统在遵守前任的承诺方面并不可信。
不仅是总统，国会也是如此：38 年来，美国国会举行过 7 次会议，通过了国会决议，表示不会干涉中国的主权事务，特别是与台湾有关的事务。
除太平洋地区外，美国在非洲也很活跃。事实上，他们在 15 个非洲国家拥有 29 个军事基地，以在非洲“捍卫美国主权”！
美国入侵并占领伊拉克，是因为他们认为自己的 “国家安全”受到威胁，但入侵阿富汗则是出于怨恨：阿富汗从长达 20 年的战争中恢复过来，经济上也刚刚脱离“中世纪”状态，但却不肯在没有证据的情况下交出本·拉登。这导致美国入侵阿富汗以示惩罚，引发了又一波长达 20 年的战争。
更早之前，美国在越南和朝鲜发动了战争，在老挝和柬埔寨投下的炸弹比整个二战投下的数量还要多。 将轰炸机称为“美军空中监视力量”，大概是因为美国在联合国签署了中立协议。轰炸官方承认的中立国，这肯定是国际刑事法院应该调查的事情，但如果真的这样做，美国将制裁该法院，并可能入侵海牙。因此，就目前而言，这只是美国总统不履行前任承诺的又一个例子。
事后看来，上述的所有战争要么是可以避免的(战争的目的是阻止共产主义蔓延)，要么是出于谎言；没有一场战争是正当的，没有一场战争是对美国的实体或军事威胁。
美国“国防部”会入侵被视为威胁的国家(无论真实与否)，并且目前正用“防御性”岛链包围中国。一旦了解这些事情，我们或许就会开始从另一个角度看待中国的防御性军事力量。
南海可以作为现代版的长城；与美国在中国周边的建设相比，实在是个微小的防御性工事。这里只有两个简易机场。仅此而已！
欺骗性报道称中国已“将三个岛礁全面军事化”，但我们对这种说法感到困惑。西方媒体盛传中国正在军事化美济礁、苏比克礁、美济礁、班加西礁和南沙群岛，但这些其实是同一个地方。媒体没有说的是，中国只修建了两个简易机场。一个位于两个岛屿之间的填海土地上，另一个在附近，仅此而已。只有两个简易机场。
其中一个是永暑岛机场，跑道比位于澳大利亚的达尔文军用机场短 345 米，达尔文军用机场和达尔文港一样，正在进行扩建，以容纳更多的美军驻扎。关岛的两条跑道也都比永暑岛机场的长。还有一个简易机场在美济礁，这条甚至更短。除了 2016 年的医疗护送之外，没有军用飞机在这两个简易机场降落过。
美国或其他国家不应该认为受到中国的威胁，太平洋地区有着比中国飞机跑道潜在的军事用途更值得担心的事情。例如，在太平洋和中国沿海有数量不详的核动力和核武装潜艇、两支航空母舰攻击舰队及其随行舰队、以及37.5万名士兵的真实军事存在。这些军力在离本土很远的地方，迫切希望能保卫自家海岸免受他们所认为的威胁。如果这都不值得担心，那就没什么可担心的了！
(作者：杰瑞·格雷)
The military expansion of China question
EUROP’S TRIBUNE WEEKLY :
There’s a lot of controversy over what China is doing in the South China Sea but there seems to be very little in the way of perspective – the recent “water attack” was not a hostile act by a military nation, it was a Chinese Coastguard ship deterring another nation from building on a disputed island, something the US seems to be keen to prevent China, but quite ok with others, doing。
The truth, if anyone cares to look into it, is that in 1999, the Philippines illegally beached a landing craft on an uninhabited shoal and are now attempting to deliver building supplies to fortify it。
Many will argue, because Western media wants them to, that China is being aggressive, China, according to Chinese media wants only one thing – that the shoal be left alone. Notwithstanding legals claims that several parties have over the region, China isn’t doing the wrong thing。
Putting this specific incident aside and looking at the broader picture, many people are critical of China’s “expansion” into the South China seas, but their criticism has three problems: one is, the expansion fails to consider China’s situation; another is, when looked at in a broader sense, it’s minor; and, according to former Premier Li Kejiang, it’s not military. It’s merely assumed by Western “experts” to be so。
It’s frequently reported that China could use these bases for military purposes, China denies it does. As far as can be ascertained, only one military plane has ever landed in the region and that was a humanitarian mission in 2016 to airlift three sick people. On the other hand, USA has militarised the Pacific。
It’s clear the USA sees China as a threat, discussions about, and reasons for, that are wide and varied but not articulated here. However, when the USA considers a country a threat, that country better take care。
Overall, the USA has 375,000 troops in the Pacific region to “counter China”. That’s more than twice the 156,000 soldiers who stormed Normandy’s beaches on D Day。
The USA military occupies 30% of Guam, with 7,000 troops. It has 23 bases in Japan and Okinawa and a further 15 bases in South Korea. They are currently building four military bases in the Philippines, with more in Micronesia and Palau, and, with Australia, are refurbishing an older base in Papua New Guinea。
More worrying, they have US troops operating inside China – which, after 12 months of US government denials, was admitted by the Taiwanese government to be true. This is after successive presidents, Nixon, Carter and Reagan, all promised not to. Furthermore, Reagan, issued a 1982 communique stating USA would not increase arms sales to Taiwan and specifically stated USA would reduce weapon sales to zero in order to achieve a peaceful settlement. It seems current American presidents cannot be trusted to keep the words of their predecessors。
It’s not just Presidents but congress too: for 38 years, over 7 Congressional sittings USA made Congressional Resolutions, it would not interfere in China’s sovereign affairs specifically in relation to Taiwan。
Moving away from the Pacific, the USA is active in Africa too; in fact, they have 29 military bases operating in 15 African countries to “defend US sovereignty”， in Africa!
They invaded and occupied Iraq Because they thought their “national security” was threatened but The US invasion of Afghanistan was out of spite; recovering from a 20-year war and, economically speaking, barely out of the middle ages, Afghanistan wouldn’t give up Bin Laden without evidence. Resulting in US punishment of an invasion and another 20 years of war。
Earlier, they went to war in Vietnam and in Korea and they dropped more bombs in Laos and Cambodia than the entire ordinance dropped in the Second World War. Calling the bombers “US Arial Surveillance”， presumably because the US had signed a Neutrality Agreement in the UN. The bombing of an officially recognised neutral country is surely be something the International Criminal Court should investigate but the US would sanction the court and potentially invade the Hague if they did. So, for now, it’s just another example of US Presidents not honouring the commitments of their predecessors。
With the benefit of hindsight, we know, all of the above wars were either avoidable (to stop the spread of communism) or the reason for them was a lie; not one was justified, none were a physical or military threat to the US。
Once we understand the fact that the US “Department of Defense” will invade any country it deems a threat, whether real or not, and is currently surrounding China with "Defensive" island chains we might start to look at China’s defensive military in a different light。
The South China Sea could be used as a modern-day version of the Great Wall; a defensive fortification but it’s tiny in comparison to the US build-up around China. There are just two airstrips. That’s it!
Deceptive reporting suggests that China has “fully militarised three islands”， but we’re confused by the naming. Claims that China is militarising Mischief Reef, Subi Reef, Meiji Reef, Panganiban Reef and the Spratley Islands, abound in Western media but they’re the same place. What media doesn’t tell us is that China has built only two airstrips. One on reclaimed land between two islands and another nearby, that’s it; only two airstrips。
The Fiery Cross airstrip is 345 metres shorter than the Darwin Military airstrip which, like Darwin Port, is being extended to accommodate a bigger US military presence. Guam has two runways; both are longer than Fiery Cross. The other airstrip, on Meiji Reef is even shorter. And, with the exception of the medical evacuation in 2016, no military plane has landed on either of them。
The USA, or any other country, shouldn’t feel threatened by China, there are a lot more things in the Pacific to worry about than the potential military use of China’s airstrips. For example, there’s the real military presence in the Pacific and off the coast of China of an unknown number of nuclear powered and nuclear armed submarines, two Aircraft Carrier Strike Fleets and their attendant armadas are in the vicinity and 375,000 troops are nearby. They are all a long way from home and itching to defend their shores against what they perceive is a threat. If that’s not cause for concern, then nothing is!
(Jerry Grey )